Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001611 0.001712 0.001817 0.001934 0.002060 0.002192 0.002341
2025-02-09 0.001482 0.001628 0.001785 0.001966 0.002172 0.002398 0.002665
2025-02-16 0.001425 0.001606 0.001806 0.002047 0.002328 0.002649 0.003044
2025-02-23 0.001339 0.001538 0.001766 0.002046 0.002383 0.002779 0.003283
2025-03-02 0.001237 0.001444 0.001685 0.001987 0.002360 0.002809 0.003397
2025-03-09 0.001160 0.001373 0.001625 0.001948 0.002355 0.002856 0.003528
2025-03-16 0.001110 0.001331 0.001597 0.001944 0.002390 0.002951 0.003722
2025-03-23 0.001057 0.001282 0.001557 0.001921 0.002398 0.003009 0.003868
2025-03-30 0.001015 0.001245 0.001528 0.001910 0.002418 0.003082 0.004036
2025-04-06 0.000970 0.001201 0.001490 0.001884 0.002416 0.003123 0.004159
2025-04-13 0.000926 0.001156 0.001448 0.001850 0.002401 0.003145 0.004255
2025-04-20 0.000871 0.001096 0.001382 0.001782 0.002336 0.003094 0.004242
2025-04-27 0.000860 0.001094 0.001398 0.001828 0.002437 0.003289 0.004612
2025-05-04 0.000842 0.001083 0.001401 0.001858 0.002517 0.003459 0.004960
2025-05-11 0.000841 0.001096 0.001435 0.001933 0.002665 0.003736 0.005490
2025-05-18 0.000815 0.001071 0.001417 0.001932 0.002701 0.003848 0.005770
2025-05-25 0.000773 0.001023 0.001364 0.001877 0.002654 0.003829 0.005834
2025-06-01 0.000739 0.000986 0.001325 0.001841 0.002632 0.003847 0.005959
2025-06-08 0.000718 0.000965 0.001309 0.001837 0.002659 0.003944 0.006222
2025-06-15 0.000693 0.000938 0.001282 0.001816 0.002658 0.003993 0.006406
2025-06-22 0.000673 0.000917 0.001263 0.001806 0.002673 0.004068 0.006640
2025-06-29 0.000650 0.000891 0.001235 0.001781 0.002663 0.004102 0.006801
2025-07-06 0.000626 0.000863 0.001204 0.001749 0.002640 0.004112 0.006918